Selasa, 02 Juli 2019

Women's World Cup odds, predictions 2019: Betting lines, best expert picks for USA vs. England - CBS Sports

The United States has advanced to the semifinals of the Women's World Cup all eight times the tournament has been held. Now, the Americans seek to get back to the finals for an unprecedented third consecutive time when they face England on Tuesday in the 2019 Women's World Cup. The match kicks off at 3 p.m. from Lyon. The USWNT, No. 1 in the latest FIFA World Rankings, looks to take another step in defending its World Cup title, a feat only accomplished by Germany (2003 and 2007). It won't be easy against England, ranked No. 3 and a team that played the USA to a 2-2 draw on March 2 in Nashville. The USA is a -120 money line favorite (risk $120 to win $100), while England is +350 (risk $100 to win $350). A draw in regulation is +250 in the latest USA vs. England odds, with the over-under for goals scored at 2.5. You need to see what European football expert David Sumpter has to say before making any USA vs. England picks and 2019 Women's World Cup predictions of your own.

Sumpter is an applied mathematician and author of "Soccermatics," a book that explains how math works inside the sport. Along with other experienced analysts, Sumpter developed the powerful Soccerbot model.

The Soccerbot reads current odds and all team performance data, calculates key metrics and predicts upcoming matches. In the three seasons since its inception, Soccerbot is up an incredible 2,000 percent on Premier League picks. That's right -- 2,000 percent.

The model is crushing its 2019 Women's World Cup picks, returning over $1,100 to anyone following it. The model correctly predicted the stunning Japan vs. Argentina draw (+825) -- a more than 8-1 long shot -- and is coming off an impressive quarterfinal performance in which it called Sweden's shocking victory over Germany, England beating Norway and the Netherlands' 2-0 win over Italy in regulation.

Now, the model has its sights set on USA vs. England. We can tell you it's leaning over, but its much stronger play is on the USA vs. England money line. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.

The model has taken into account the USA's domination of the sport. The Americans have lost just one game over the last two years. That was a friendly exhibition with France on Jan. 19, a defeat avenged last Friday in the quarterfinals of the 2019 World Cup bracket thanks to a pair of goals from Megan Rapinoe for a 2-1 win. The Americans have outscored their World Cup 2019 opponents a combined 22-2, ranking No. 1 at the 2019 World Cup in goals, assists (14) and shots (84), while keeper Alyssa Naeher has made eight saves through five games.

Rapinoe and Alex Morgan each have five goals, tied with England's Ellen White and Australia's Sam Kerr for most among all World Cup players. England has allowed just one goal, but the American offensive onslaught can come from anywhere. Carli Lloyd has three goals on 16 shots as a reserve, and three midfielders -- Samantha Mewis, Rose Lavelle and reserve Lindsey Horan -- have two goals apiece. The USWNT has scored at least two goals in 10 straight games and three-plus in seven of them.

But just because the United States appears to have the edge on paper doesn't mean it's the best value on the USA vs. England money line on Tuesday.

The model has also taken into account that England played one of its best games of the 2019 World Cup in the win over Norway in the quarterfinals. The Lionesses had a commanding 7-3 advantage in shots on target and finished with an edge in several other important categories like corner kicks, tackles and blocks. England has given up just one goal in FIFA Women's World Cup 2019 and has scored more goals (six) than any other team in the knockout phase. 

Though the Americans own a 10-4-2 mark all-time against England in women's international play, they've won just one of the last three matchups. England also might have the best player on the field in Bronze. She's a force on the back line who can also join the rush at any point and capitalize, just as she did to put England up 3-0 against Norway in the quarterfinals. 

So who wins England vs. USA? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the England vs. USA money line you need to be all over Tuesday, all from an expert who created a model that's returned a 2,000 percent profit on bookmakers' closing odds.

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https://www.cbssports.com/soccer/world-cup/news/womens-world-cup-odds-predictions-2019-betting-lines-best-expert-picks-for-usa-vs-england/

2019-07-02 12:28:00Z
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